Sao Paulo
1–2
Full time
Santos
Recent form
DLDWW
Recent form
LDDWL
AI prediction
Overall confidence
6/10
São Paulo are the percentage side, but the cleaner betting angle is goals: Santos’ recent xG profile is too open to trust defensively, even if the derby dynamic keeps the result market a touch volatile.
Over 1.5 goals
9/10The baseline score matrix points toward at least two goals more often than not.
Sao Paulo over 0.5 team goals
9/10Sao Paulo should create enough to get on the scoresheet.
Sao Paulo or draw
8/10The home side look hard to beat, even if the draw remains live.
- • Probabilities and bet hierarchy are taken only from the supplied model data.
- • Late team-news check lists Gabriel Barbosa suspended, but official squads should be re-checked close to kickoff.
- • São Paulo injuries to Lucas Moura and Sabino are relevant but not enough to override the model’s home-goal edge.
- • Derby variance is meaningful; the result market is less clean than the goals angles.
- • Recent xG covers only recent matches, not the full-season baseline.
5 more markets are covered in the TipKick app.
Head to head
Goals
- 34'Luciano
- 36'Gabriel Barbosa(Gonzalo Escobar)
- 54'Gabriel Barbosa(Everton)