Gremio
2–1
Full time
Sao Paulo
Recent form
DLLLW
Recent form
WDLLW
AI prediction
Overall confidence
6/10
Gremio are the right side of the result angle, but the cleaner read is protection plus a home goal rather than pretending this is a runaway home spot.
Gremio or draw
8/10The home side look hard to beat, even if the draw remains live.
Over 1.5 goals
8/10The baseline score matrix points toward at least two goals more often than not.
Gremio over 0.5 team goals
8/10Gremio should create enough to get on the scoresheet.
- • Web check found João Pedro listed unavailable for Gremio.
- • Web check found Rafael Tolói, Maik and Lucas Moura listed unavailable for São Paulo.
- • São Paulo have had a long preparation window before this match, which slightly tempers the Gremio edge.
- • Gremio’s recent xG for is weaker than their attack rating, so avoid overstating their scoring ceiling.
- • No referee or detailed card-rate data was provided, so card bets carry extra uncertainty.
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Head to head
Goals
- 45'Marcos Antonio(Luciano)
- 48'Wallace(Carlos Vinicius)
- 86'C. Pavon