Premier League · Regular Season - 38

Fulham vs Newcastle

· Craven Cottage, London

Fulham

20

Full time

Newcastle

Recent form

DWDLL

Recent form

WLWDW

AI prediction

Overall confidence

8/10

Newcastle look to hold the clearer edge here, mainly because they are far more likely to strike first and keep Fulham chasing the game.

Newcastle or draw

10/10

The away side have enough quality to avoid defeat more often than not.

Newcastle over 0.5 team goals

10/10

Newcastle carry enough attacking threat to score at least once.

Either team to win

9/10

The draw line looks lighter than usual, which opens the door to a decisive result.

  • Model inputs show a strong Newcastle lean, but upstream result percentages appear inconsistent with the main probabilities.
  • Shots-on-target figures look unusually low, so attacking output metrics may be noisy.
  • Both sides have identical defensive ratings in the dataset, which adds some caution despite the away win lean.
  • End-of-season matches can be harder to model if motivation differs.

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Head to head