Brighton
1–1
Full time
Leeds
Recent form
WWWDL
Recent form
DWLDD
AI prediction
Overall confidence
4/10
Brighton’s stronger recent xG profile and the model’s first-goal lean make them the side to trust, but this projects as a tight, low-event match rather than a routine home win.
Brighton to score first
10/10Brighton are slightly more likely to land the first telling attacking phase.
Under 2.5 goals
9/10The game projects more tightly than the average fixture.
Both teams to score - No
9/10One side looks likely to blank or the game stays too controlled for both to land.
- • The fixture is only in Round 3, so the form, xG and league-position samples are very small.
- • The supplied probabilities contain a tension: Brighton are assigned 100% of first-goal probability while 0-0 is the top correct-score outcome.
- • Reported injuries and doubts are preliminary; check official starting line-ups before acting.
- • No team-card baseline is included, so the Brighton cards angle has less statistical support than the goal and result selections.
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Head to head
Goals
- 15'Jayden Bogle(Ao Tanaka)
- 71'Luka Vuskovic(Maxim De Cuyper)