Atletico Madrid
2–1
Full time
Real Madrid
Recent form
WWWLL
Recent form
LWWWL
AI prediction
Overall confidence
3/10
Atlético average 1.83 goals per game, but their recent chance creation is only 0.45 expected goals; Real Madrid arrive with 1.76. That gap changes where this derby's real pressure point lies.
Over 1.5 goals
7/10The baseline score matrix points toward at least two goals more often than not.
Real Madrid over 0.5 team goals
7/10Real Madrid carry enough attacking threat to score at least once.
Over 3.5 cards
7/10Both sides carry enough combined disciplinary record to push the cards count above the line.
- • Atlético Madrid striker Alexander Sørloth is expected to miss the derby with a muscle injury.
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Head to head
Goals
- 53'Alejandro Grimaldo
- 59'Jonathan David(Giuliano Simeone Baldini)
- 89'Antonio Rüdiger(Bernardo Silva)