Serie A · Regular Season - 1

AS Roma vs Fiorentina

· Stadio Olimpico, Rome

AS Roma

40

Full time

Fiorentina

Recent form

DWDWW

Recent form

DWWLL

AI prediction

Overall confidence

4/10

Roma’s territorial edge points to the hosts scoring first, but the stronger overall read is a tight opener in which Roma avoid defeat and goals stay scarce.

AS Roma to score first

10/10

AS Roma are slightly more likely to land the first telling attacking phase.

AS Roma or draw

9/10

The home side look hard to beat, even if the draw remains live.

Under 2.5 goals

9/10

The game projects more tightly than the average fixture.

  • Player-level availability is incomplete, so player and time-sensitive angles are treated more cautiously.
  • Opening-round rankings and form-point figures are not meaningful yet.
  • The draw is rated slightly more likely than a Roma win, so the matchup is not one-sided.
  • High historical scoring conflicts with the strong current under projection.
  • Roma’s large xG-to-attack gap creates finishing uncertainty.
  • Wesley and Kouadio Koné have been flagged as Roma availability concerns.
  • Fabiano Parisi is listed as a long-term Fiorentina absentee.
  • Team news may change before August 24, 2026.

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Head to head

Goals

  • 27'D. Malen(P. Dybala)
  • 52'D. Malen(P. Dybala)
  • 60'D. Malen(P. Dybala)
  • 86'N. Pisilli