Alaves
2–4
Full time
Athletic Club
Recent form
DLLWW
Recent form
DDWWL
AI prediction
Overall confidence
5/10
Alaves look slightly better placed at home, but this shapes up more like a controlled, low-margin derby than a one-sided result.
Alaves or draw
8/10The home side look hard to beat, even if the draw remains live.
Over 1.5 goals
8/10The baseline score matrix points toward at least two goals more often than not.
Alaves over 0.5 team goals
8/10Alaves should create enough to get on the scoresheet.
- • Athletic's better shots-on-target output makes the home edge less comfortable than the win probabilities suggest.
- • Both teams have weak clean-sheet rates, but the head-to-head goal average is still low.
- • Correct-score picks are highly volatile and should be treated cautiously.
- • The matchup looks competitive rather than clearly one-sided.
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