Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3

FC Porto vs Arouca

· Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto

20

Full time

Arouca

Recent form

WWLWW

Recent form

DLDWL

AI prediction

Overall confidence

7/10

Porto should set the early tempo at the Dragão, but Arouca’s clean start makes a low-scoring home win more plausible than a runaway.

FC Porto to score first

10/10

FC Porto are slightly more likely to land the first telling attacking phase.

Over 3.5 cards

10/10

Both sides carry enough combined disciplinary record to push the cards count above the line.

FC Porto over 1.5 cards

10/10

FC Porto have picked up enough cards this season to make this a live angle on their own.

  • Early-season sample: recent form, clean-sheet rates and xG should be treated cautiously.
  • Porto have several reported injuries or fitness doubts, including midfield and forward options.
  • The card recommendations lack supporting referee and team discipline metrics in the supplied data.
  • Arouca’s recent defensive record increases the chance that Porto win narrowly rather than comfortably.

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Head to head

Goals

  • 67'G. Veiga(William Gomes)
  • 86'B. Sainz(Pepe)