Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Botafogo vs Fluminense

· Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Botafogo

11

Full time

Fluminense

Recent form

LWDDL

Recent form

WLLWW

AI prediction

Overall confidence

6/10

Botafogo are the preferred side in the protected markets, with the model leaning toward home pressure, goals, and an early Botafogo breakthrough rather than a clean one-sided derby win.

Botafogo or draw

9/10

The home side look hard to beat, even if the draw remains live.

Over 1.5 goals

9/10

The baseline score matrix points toward at least two goals more often than not.

Botafogo over 0.5 team goals

9/10

Botafogo should create enough to get on the scoresheet.

  • Structured probabilities are the primary basis; web news is used only as supplementary context.
  • Huguinho suspension weakens Botafogo midfield depth slightly.
  • Multiple listed Fluminense defensive absences/doubts could matter, especially Thiago Silva and Freytes.
  • Derby volatility makes straight-result exposure riskier than protected Botafogo angles.
  • Cards and corners depend heavily on referee profile and match state.

5 more markets are covered in the TipKick app.

Head to head

Goals

  • 44'Alex Telles
  • 58'Ignacio(K. Serna)