Nacional
2–3
Terminé
Estrela
Forme récente
LLLLL
Forme récente
LDWDW
Pronostic de l'IA
Confiance globale
6/10
Nacional have the clearer route to control this at home, with Estrela’s recent defensive numbers pointing towards sustained pressure rather than a balanced shootout.
Nacional over 0.5 team goals
10/10Nacional should create enough to get on the scoresheet.
Nacional to score first
10/10Nacional are slightly more likely to land the first telling attacking phase.
Nacional or draw
9/10The home side look hard to beat, even if the draw remains live.
- • Player-level availability is incomplete, so player and time-sensitive angles are treated more cautiously.
- • Nacional confirmed José Gomes, Ulisses and Laabidi were unavailable in final training due to injury recovery.
- • Recent xG figures are a small-sample indicator and may not fully reflect season-long strength.
- • Historical head-to-head results favour Estrela more than the current form and model probabilities do.
- • The low BTTS probability makes visitor scoring the main uncertainty for goal-based selections.
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Confrontations directes
Buts
- 3'Wesley Gasolina(W. Kokolo)
- 45'I. Stoica
- 62'A. Marcus(G. Doue)
- 66'Pablo Ruan(Liziero)
- 83'L. Antonetti(G. Doue)